NCAA College Football: Last Season in Review – Florida State

There’s no sugarcoating what happened in Tallahassee in 2024. Florida State’s 2-10 season wasn’t just a failure — it was a full-scale implosion. One year removed from an undefeated regular season and a College Football Playoff snub that sparked national outrage, the Seminoles hit rock bottom. Fast.

The collapse was stunning, not just in record, but in how quickly everything unraveled. Injuries played a role. So did the loss of key leaders. But this wasn’t just bad luck—it was a complete organizational breakdown, from sideline to locker room.

How It Fell Apart

Florida State opened the season ranked No. 9 in the AP Poll, with a reloaded defense and high expectations for their next quarterback—expected to be either AJ Duffy or a high-profile transfer. But no one stepped up. The offense sputtered from Week 1, and the Noles dropped four of their first five games, including a demoralizing loss at home to Wake Forest.

The line couldn’t protect. The receivers lacked separation. And the quarterback play was erratic at best. Florida State failed to score more than 20 points in seven games. Mike Norvell’s offense—once praised for creativity—looked flat and overly conservative.

Defensively, the talent was still there, but the spark was gone. The pass rush disappeared. The secondary gave up too many big plays. The unit spent too much time on the field and eventually cracked under the weight of carrying the team.

The final insult came in rivalry losses to Miami and Florida, both by double digits. By then, the locker room had clearly lost belief. Norvell looked checked out. The team played like it had nothing left.

Mike Norvell’s Future

Just a year ago, Norvell was considered one of the brightest young coaches in the game. Now, he’s fighting to keep his job. The administration is in a bind—his buyout is steep, and replacing him after one disastrous year may be premature. But another season like 2024 and they won’t have a choice.

The trust built during the 2022-23 resurgence is gone. If Norvell stays, he’ll have to rebuild credibility not just with fans and boosters, but inside his own locker room.

What to Expect in 2025

It’s hard to project anything with confidence after a 2-10 collapse, but here’s what we know:

• A new quarterback is coming — either a true freshman or a portal transfer. Either way, it’ll be another transition year at the most important position.
• The defense still has NFL-caliber players but desperately needs a new identity.
• The schedule doesn’t get easier, especially if the early games turn south.

Don’t expect a miracle turnaround. Florida State needs to rebuild its offensive line, find consistency under center, and rediscover the fight it had in 2022. Until then, expectations are low—and that might be the best thing going for them.

Betting Breakdown – How to Bet the Noles on Bet105

In 2024, Florida State was a disaster at the window as well as on the field. Bettors who bought in early were burned quickly. The team finished 2-10 overall and just 3-9 ATS, including an 0-5 record as a favorite.

Key Betting Stats from 2024:

• 2-10 overall record
• 3-9 ATS (0-5 as favorite)
• Scored under 17 points in 7 of 12 games
• Lost by 14+ points in five games
• Hit the under in 8 of 12 contests

How to Approach Florida State in 2025 on bet105:

Caution Signs:

• Avoid early-season spreads: Unless the quarterback situation is resolved quickly, this team will be too inconsistent to back with confidence.
• Fade as favorites: Until they prove otherwise, Florida State is not a team to trust when laying points.
• Play team total unders: Their offense hasn’t scored consistently since 2023, and that trend could continue.

Where the Value Might Be:

• Live betting opportunities: If the defense returns to form, games could stay close even if they fall behind early.
• Underdog spots at home: Rivalry games and home-field advantage may still keep them competitive.
• Midseason value shift: If they lose early, the market may over-adjust, creating opportunities to buy low if improvements start to show.

Bet105 Futures Watch:

• Win total under: If it opens at 6.5 or higher, the under is worth a look unless the QB room dramatically upgrades.
• Coaching odds: Norvell could be a popular pick in the first coach fired market depending on offseason sentiment.
• ACC title odds: Avoid entirely unless they show immediate signs of life.

Right now, Florida State is a stay-away team for most smart bettors. That could change — but until it does, proceed with caution. The value is in the fade, not the faith.

Experience the thrill of college football all season long. Bet smarter, go deeper, and ride the momentum with bet105.