North Texas vs. South Florida: Betting Odds, Prediction, and Analysis for the AAC Showdown October 10, 2025
An undefeated North Texas Mean Green squad hosts the ranked South Florida Bulls in a pivotal American Athletic Conference
An undefeated North Texas Mean Green squad hosts the ranked South Florida Bulls in a pivotal American Athletic Conference matchup. Get the latest odds, analysis, and our prediction for this exciting college football game.
As Week 7 of the college football season unfolds, a compelling AAC showdown is set to take place in Denton, Texas, where the undefeated North Texas Mean Green (5-0) will defend their home turf against the No. 24 ranked South Florida Bulls (4-1). This Friday night clash at DATCU Stadium promises to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams boasting explosive offenses. This article provides a comprehensive betting preview, including the latest odds from bet105, team analysis, and a final prediction.
Team Breakdown and Season Performance
North Texas Mean Green: Riding the Undefeated Wave
The North Texas Mean Green have been on an absolute tear this season, storming to a perfect 5-0 record. Their offense has been a juggernaut, averaging an impressive 44.8 points per game. In their most recent outing, they secured a convincing 36-22 victory over the South Alabama Jaguars. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been efficient, but the ground game has been the real story, with Caleb Hawkins leading a rushing attack that averages over 180 yards per game and has racked up 18 touchdowns.
However, there are some concerns for the Mean Green. Their defense has been susceptible to giving up big plays and has surprisingly failed to record a single interception this season. This could be a major liability against a dynamic South Florida offense.
South Florida Bulls: Ranked and Ready to Rumble
The South Florida Bulls enter this contest with a strong 4-1 record and a fresh spot in the AP Top 25. Their only loss came in a hard-fought battle, and they have since bounced back with impressive victories. The Bulls’ offense is just as potent as North Texas’, averaging 40.6 points and 446 yards per game. Quarterback Byrum Brown is a true dual-threat, capable of dissecting defenses with his arm and his legs. In their 54-26 rout of Charlotte, Brown accounted for five total touchdowns.
Defensively, the Bulls have shown a knack for creating turnovers, with four interceptions on the season. This opportunistic defense could be the key to slowing down the Mean Green’s high-powered offense.
Betting Odds and Analysis
For those looking to place a wager on this exciting matchup, here are the latest odds from bet105:
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Florida | +1 (-118) | -110 | o68 (-111) |
| North Texas | -1 (+102) | -106 | u68 (-107) |
Odds are subject to change. Please check bet105 for the latest lines.
Spread Analysis
The spread for this game is incredibly tight, with North Texas favored by a single point at home. This is a testament to how evenly matched these two teams are. North Texas has been strong against the spread (ATS) this season with a 4-1 record, while South Florida is a respectable 3-1-1 ATS. Given North Texas’s home-field advantage and undefeated record, the -1 spread seems tempting. However, South Florida’s potent offense and opportunistic defense make them a very dangerous underdog.
Moneyline Analysis
The moneyline odds also reflect a close contest. North Texas is a slight favorite at -106, while South Florida is listed at -110. This is essentially a pick’em, and the value lies in correctly identifying the outright winner. Given the offensive firepower on both sides, this game could come down to which team makes the fewest mistakes.
Over/Under Analysis
The total for this game is set at a high 68 points, and for good reason. Both teams have been lighting up the scoreboard all season. North Texas and South Florida have both seen the over hit in three of their five games. With two explosive offenses and defenses that have shown some vulnerability, the over seems like a strong possibility.
Prediction
This is a tough game to call, but we are going to give the slight edge to the home team. North Texas has been playing with a ton of confidence, and their offense has been nearly unstoppable. While South Florida’s defense is more opportunistic, we believe the Mean Green’s rushing attack will be able to control the clock and keep the Bulls’ offense off the field just enough to secure a narrow victory.
Final Score Prediction: North Texas 38, South Florida 35
The Bet: North Texas -1 (+102)
Conclusion
This Friday night showdown between North Texas and South Florida has all the makings of a classic AAC shootout. Both teams are evenly matched, and it should be a thrilling game to watch. For those looking to bet on the action, the tight spread and high total offer plenty of opportunities. Be sure to check out bet105 for the latest odds and to place your wagers. Another interesting game on Saturday October 11, 2025 is the clash between Indiana Hoosiers vs. Oregon Ducks. Make your prediction and wager today!
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