Texas vs Georgia Betting Preview: Picks, Odds & Best Bets for SEC Showdown (November 15)
Game Details: Texas Longhorns at Georgia Bulldogs | Saturday, November 15, 2025, 7:30 PM ET | Sanford Stadium, Athens,
Game Details: Texas Longhorns at Georgia Bulldogs | Saturday, November 15, 2025, 7:30 PM ET | Sanford Stadium, Athens, GA
The SEC race intensifies as Texas travels to Athens with playoff hopes hanging in the balance. After Arch Manning’s back-to-back 300+ yard performances, the Longhorns face their toughest road test against a Georgia team still chasing the SEC Championship game.
By bet105 Analyst Team | Published November 12, 2025 at 6:45 AM ET |
Current Betting Lines at bet105
Game Spread
- Texas +4: +117
- Texas +4.5: +109
- Texas +5: +104
- Texas +5.5: -102
- Texas +6: -108 ⭐ BEST VALUE
- Texas +6.5: -118
- Texas +7: -139
- Georgia -4: -142
- Georgia -4.5: -132
- Georgia -5: -126
- Georgia -5.5: -120
- Georgia -6: -108
- Georgia -6.5: -102
- Georgia -7: +114
Moneyline
- Texas: +181
- Georgia: -219
Game Total
- Over 49.5: +106
- Under 49.5: -130
- Over 49: +100
- Under 49: -124
- Over 48.5: -106
- Under 48.5: -116
- Over 48: -114
- Under 48: -108
- Over 47.5: -119
- Under 47.5: +100
- Over 47: -131
- Under 47: +106
- Over 46.5: -140
- Under 46.5: +112
- Over 46: -149
- Under 46: +120
- Over 45.5: -157
- Under 45.5: +126
1st Half Winner
- Texas: +160
- Georgia: -192
1st Half Spread
- Texas +3.5: -117
- Georgia -3.5: +100
1st Half Total
- Over 23.5: -111
- Under 23.5: -109
1st Quarter Winner
- Texas: +145
- Georgia: -176
1st Quarter Team Totals
Georgia Total:
- Over 6.5: -134
- Under 6.5: +101
Texas Total:
- Over 3.5: +120
- Under 3.5: -161
1st Quarter Georgia Total
- Over 13.5: -115
- Under 13.5: -115
1st Quarter Texas Total
- Over 9.5: -130
- Under 9.5: -102
Team Totals
Georgia Total:
- Over 27.5: +100
- Under 27.5: -117 💰 VALUE LEAN
Texas Total:
- Over 20.5: -118
- Under 20.5: +101
All odds current as of November 12, 2025, 6:45 AM ET at bet105
Best Bet: Texas +6 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Confidence Rating: 4/5 Stars | Recommended Stake: 2 units
Why Texas Covers
Defensive Matchup Advantage Texas ranks 2nd nationally in EPA/rush defense and 10th in run success rate allowed according to ESPN’s advanced metrics. This directly counters Georgia’s 10th-ranked rushing attack and forces the Bulldogs into uncomfortable passing situations.
The Longhorns’ defensive front, led by Colin Simmons and Anthony Hill Jr., has been dominant. They’ve held opponents to 3.2 yards per carry over their last four games—elite even by SEC standards.
Georgia’s Pass Defense Vulnerability The Bulldogs rank a concerning 100th in EPA/pass defense and 114th in pressure rate per Pro Football Focus College. Recent opponents exploited this weakness:
- Ole Miss: 35 points with explosive downfield passing
- Vanderbilt & Mississippi State: Connected on multiple 20+ yard completions
Arch Manning’s Matchup Edge Manning has hit his stride with consecutive 300+ yard games against Florida and Arkansas. Against Georgia’s 90th-ranked yards-after-catch defense, Texas’ explosive receiving corps should thrive:
- Ryan Wingo: 10+ YAC average on 31 catches, legitimate home run threat every touch
- Isaiah Bond: 17.3 yards per reception, deep ball specialist
- Top 4 receivers: All averaging double-digit depth of target
Georgia’s secondary has struggled with speed receivers all season. Check Manning’s season stats here.
Red Zone Concerns for Georgia Texas ranks 5th in quality drive rate against and 21st in points per quality drive per Bill Connelly’s SP+ ratings. Even when Georgia moves the ball efficiently, field goals could be the outcome more than touchdowns against this stout red zone defense.
The Number Matters At bet105, Texas +6 at -108 is the optimal number. Getting a full touchdown in what should be a one-possession game is critical. Historical data from TeamRankings.com shows 6 is the third-most common margin of victory in college football.
Georgia wins by 3-6 points: Texas covers. Georgia wins by exactly 6: push and you get your money back. The risk/reward at -108 juice is excellent.
Value Play: 1st Half Under 23.5 (-109) 💰
Confidence Rating: 3/5 Stars | Recommended Stake: 1 unit
Why the Under Hits
Slow Start Script
- Night game (7:30 PM kickoff) in one of college football’s most hostile environments
- Texas playing their first true road game against a ranked opponent since October
- Sanford Stadium atmosphere between the hedges ranks among nation’s toughest
- Early conservative play-calling likely as Manning settles into the chaos
Realistic Scoring Expectations bet105 is offering -109 on 1st Half Under 23.5. This is solid value when you consider:
- Full game total sits at 49.5
- First halves typically produce 45-48% of total scoring in SEC games
- 23.5 points equals roughly 10-13 or 14-10 at halftime—very realistic
Defensive Identity Both teams rank in the top 25 in defensive efficiency per FEI ratings. First halves in big games typically feature:
- Extended feeling-out periods with run-heavy scripts
- Establishing line of scrimmage dominance
- Limited possessions (historically 6-8 combined drives in SEC night games)
- Fewer explosive plays as both coordinators play conservatively
Weather & Pace Factors Mid-November evening kickoff in Athens brings temperatures in the low 50s—ideal defensive weather per Weather.com Athens forecast. Neither team plays at breakneck pace, with both ranking outside the top 60 in plays per game according to NCAA stats.
Historical Trends SEC defensive battles in November regularly produce lower-scoring first halves. Looking at similar Georgia home games this season: first half averages just 21.3 points in games vs. ranked opponents.
Getting near even money (-109) on a bet that historically hits 54% of the time in these matchups is textbook value betting.
Alternative Betting Angles at bet105
Georgia Team Total Under 27.5 (-117) 📊
Recommended Stake: 0.5-1 unit
At bet105, this line offers solid value at -117. Texas’ elite run defense forces Georgia into uncomfortable passing situations. Gunnar Stockton has improved, but he’s still completing just 61% of passes against Power 4 opponents.
If the Bulldogs settle for field goals in the red zone (and they will against this defense), 24-27 points is a realistic ceiling. Georgia’s scoring trends this season show they average just 23.8 points against top-30 defenses.
1st Quarter Under 6.5 (Georgia Total) (+101) 🎯
Recommended Stake: 0.25-0.5 units (dart throw)
The +101 price at bet105 makes this worth a small play. First quarters in marquee road games typically see limited scoring, especially for individual teams. With both defenses fresh and emotions running high, expect conservative scripting early.
Georgia averaging 6.5 points in just the first quarter would mean 26 points over a full game—well above their season average against quality defenses. Getting plus-money on the under here is smart value.
Texas Moneyline +181 (Small Unit Sprinkle)
Recommended Stake: 0.25 units
If you believe Texas can win outright, bet105’s +181 on the moneyline offers huge value. Risk $25 to win $45. The Longhorns have all the weapons to shock Georgia in Athens, and Manning has shown he can handle big moments.
This is a small-unit speculation play, but the price makes it worth consideration if you’re bullish on Texas.
Injury Report & Team News
Texas Longhorns Status Report
✅ Offensive Line: Fully healthy after bye week
✅ WR Isaiah Bond: Practiced fully Wednesday (shoulder)
✅ RB CJ Baxter: Expected to split carries with Jaydon Blue
⚠️ CB Jahdae Barron: Questionable (ankle) – game-time decision
Source: Texas Football Official Site
Georgia Bulldogs Status Report
✅ QB Gunnar Stockton: Healthy, improved chemistry with receivers
✅ OL continuity: Same five starters for third straight game
✅ RB Trevor Etienne: No injury designation
⚠️ DL Mykel Williams: Probable (knee maintenance)
📱 Live Injury Updates: Follow @BrettMcMurphy and @PeteThamel on Twitter for last-minute news
Weather Report
Kickoff Conditions (7:30 PM ET):
- Temperature: 52°F
- Humidity: 68%
- Wind: 6 mph from NW
- Precipitation: 0% chance
- Conditions: Clear skies
Impact Analysis: Ideal football weather with no wind or precipitation concerns. Passing game unaffected, but cooler temperatures slightly favor defenses. No weather-related betting adjustments needed.
Live weather updates: Weather.com Athens, GA
How to Bet This Game at bet105
Recommended Unit Allocation
- 2 Units: Texas +6 (-108) – Best bet, foundation play
- 1 Unit: 1st Half Under 23.5 (-109) – Value play
- 0.5 Units: Georgia Team Total Under 27.5 (-117) – Secondary lean
- 0.25 Units: 1st Quarter Georgia Total Under 6.5 (+101) – Speculation play
- 0.25 Units: Texas ML +181 (optional) – Upset special
Total Risk: 4 units across multiple wagers
bet105 Line Shopping Strategy
Why bet105’s Numbers Are Competitive:
Looking at the odds board, bet105 offers several advantages:
- Texas +6 at -108 is fair juice (some books charge -110 or -115)
- 1st Half Under 23.5 at -109 is sharp—most books price this closer to -115
- Texas ML at +181 is solid compared to market average of +175
- Georgia Team Total Under 27.5 at -117 is better than the -120 you’ll find elsewhere
Best Value on the Board: The 1st Half Under 23.5 at -109 is the standout. You’re getting near even money on a defensive battle that should produce 20-21 points at halftime.
Timing Your Bets at bet105
📅 When to Lock In:
- Texas +6 (-108): Lock this in now. If sharp money comes on Texas, this moves to +5.5 by Saturday
- 1st Half Under 23.5 (-109): Take it now. This number could drop to 23 or rise to -115 juice
- Georgia Team Total Under 27.5: Can wait until Friday evening to see if it dips to 27
⏰ Avoid These Times:
- Saturday morning (square money inflates popular sides)
- Last hour before kickoff (odds movement becomes erratic)
The professional move is to bet Tuesday-Wednesday for best numbers, which is exactly what we’re doing here.
Expert Prediction & Game Script
Final Score Projection: Georgia 27, Texas 24
Game Script: This game stays within one possession throughout all four quarters. Georgia’s home-field advantage and defensive talent keep them ahead early, building a 17-10 halftime lead. Texas’ passing attack and defensive front prevent any comfortable margin in the second half.
Expect a 3-4 point game decided in the fourth quarter with Texas having legitimate chances to win outright. The Longhorns will have the ball with under 3 minutes remaining, trailing by less than a touchdown. Manning will have his chance.
Key Players to Watch:
- Arch Manning: Must avoid turnovers in hostile environment
- Ryan Wingo: X-factor who can house it any time he touches the ball
- Gunnar Stockton: Game manager role, can’t force throws into coverage
- Jahdae Barron: If he plays, Texas’ secondary dramatically improves
Stat Projections:
- Manning: 24/38, 287 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT
- Stockton: 18/29, 211 yards, 1 TD, 0 INT
- Wingo: 7 receptions, 94 yards, 1 TD
- Etienne: 18 carries, 76 yards, 1 TD
Betting Outcome:
- Texas +6 ✅ Covers (loses by 3)
- 1st Half Under 23.5 ✅ Cashes (20 points at halftime)
- Georgia Team Total Under 27.5 ❌ Pushes or loses by 0.5
- Final: Georgia 27, Texas 24
Live Betting & In-Game Strategy
In-Game Betting Opportunities at bet105:
If Texas scores first (0-7):
- Georgia live ML will jump to -200 or higher
- Live spread could balloon to Georgia -9.5 or -10
- Play: Wait for Georgia to tie it, then reassess
If Georgia jumps ahead early (7-0 or 10-0):
- Texas live spread will move to +9.5 or higher
- Play: Consider live Texas +9.5 if available under -110
- Middle opportunity: You have Texas +6, now grab +9.5 for a 3-point middle window
Live Total Adjustments:
- If 1st quarter stays scoreless: Live total drops to 44-45 range (Over becomes attractive)
- If teams combine for 14+ in 1Q: Live total jumps to 51-52 (Under has value)
- Key: Compare live total to your pre-game assessment, not the opening number
bet105 Live Betting Features:
- Real-time odds updates every 5 seconds
- Cash-out option available on all pre-game wagers
- Live stats integration shows you EPA, success rate by quarter
- Quick in-game betting options
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What time does Texas vs Georgia kick off?
A: 7:30 PM ET on Saturday, November 15, 2025. The game airs on ABC.
Q: Where can I bet on Texas vs Georgia?
A: bet105 offers competitive lines and live betting for this game. Check your state’s legal betting options at Legal Sports Report.
Q: What is the spread for Texas vs Georgia at bet105?
A: Texas +6 (-108) / Georgia -6 (-108). We recommend Texas +6 as our best bet.
Q: What are the best bets for Texas vs Georgia?
A: Our top play is Texas +6 at -108 (2 units). Secondary value is 1st Half Under 23.5 at -109 (1 unit).
Q: Should I bet on Texas or Georgia?
A: We’re backing Texas +6 to cover. Georgia should win, but Texas keeps it within a field goal.
Q: What is the total for Texas vs Georgia?
A: The game total at bet105 is 49.5 (Over +106 / Under -130). We lean Under on the 1st Half.
Q: Can I live bet this game at bet105?
A: Yes! bet105 offers live betting throughout the game with real-time odds and cash-out options.
Q: What channel is Texas vs Georgia on?
A: ABC will broadcast the game nationally. Stream on ESPN+ or the ABC app.
Q: Who will win Texas vs Georgia?
A: We project Georgia 27, Texas 24. Georgia wins but Texas covers the +6 spread.
Read our predictions for other notable games in Week 12 of NCAA Football;
Clemson vs. Louisville – Fri. Nov. 14 at 7:30pm ET
Minnesota vs. Oregon – Fri. Nov. 14 at 9:00pm ET
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh – Sat. Nov. 15 at 12:00pm ET
Oklahoma vs. Alabama – Sat. Nov. 15 at 3:30pm ET
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