Thursday Night Football Showdown: Packers vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, and Expert Picks

An NFC powerhouse clash is set for Thursday Night Football as the Green Bay Packers host the Washington Commanders. Both teams are coming off impressive Week 1 victories and are looking to maintain their early-season momentum. This comprehensive guide breaks down the matchup, providing expert analysis, the latest odds from bet105, and a prediction to help you make informed betting decisions.

How to Watch

• Date: Thursday, Sept. 12, 2025
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wisconsin)
• TV: Amazon Prime

Packers vs. Commanders Betting Odds

The Packers enter this contest as home favorites, but the Commanders are riding a wave of confidence after a strong road performance in Week 1. Here are the latest odds from bet105:

Odds are subject to change. Visit bet105 for the most up-to-date lines.

Why the Packers Can Cover (-3.5)

The Green Bay Packers looked sharp in their season-opening 27-13 victory over the Detroit Lions. Quarterback Jordan Love was particularly impressive, completing 16 of 22 passes for 188 yards and two touchdowns, earning a stellar 128.6 passer rating. His connection with his young receiving corps, including a 17-yard touchdown to Jayden Reed and a 15-yard score to Tucker Kraft, suggests the offense is clicking early. The Packers have a strong home-field advantage at Lambeau Field, where they have gone 7-3 since the start of last season. Their historical dominance over Washington in Green Bay, winning the last six matchups, also provides a psychological edge. If their defense can continue to stifle opponents as they did against the Lions, holding them to just 13 points, the Packers are in a strong position to cover the -3.5 spread.

Why the Commanders Can Cover (+3.5)

The Washington Commanders are not to be underestimated, especially after their convincing 21-6 road win against the New York Giants. Quarterback Jayden Daniels is proving to be a dynamic dual-threat, throwing for 233 yards and a touchdown while also rushing for 68 yards. The Commanders’ ground game was a force to be reckoned with, amassing 220 yards in total. This balanced offensive attack can keep the Packers’ defense on its heels. Washington’s defense was equally impressive, holding the Giants to just a single touchdown. With key players like running back Austin Ekeler and wide receiver Noah Brown contributing, and with Daniels showing no ill effects from a minor wrist scare, the Commanders have the offensive firepower and defensive solidity to keep this game close and cover the +3.5 spread.

Expert Pick & Prediction

This matchup presents a classic clash of styles. The Packers’ high-powered passing attack, led by Jordan Love, will test a stout Commanders defense that was dominant in Week 1. Conversely, the Commanders’ balanced offense, featuring a strong ground game and the dual-threat capabilities of Jayden Daniels, will challenge the Packers’ defensive front.

While both teams are coming off impressive wins, the Packers’ home-field advantage at Lambeau Field, where they have historically dominated the Commanders, cannot be ignored. The weather forecast for a clear night in Green Bay also favors the passing game, which should benefit Jordan Love and his receivers.

However, the Commanders’ ability to control the clock with their running game and keep the Packers’ offense off the field could be a significant factor. Their defense has also shown it can shut down potent offenses.

The Pick: Washington Commanders +3.5 (-108). While the Packers are a formidable opponent at home, the Commanders have the tools to keep this game within a field goal. Their balanced offense and tough defense should allow them to control the tempo and prevent the Packers from pulling away. The +3.5 spread provides a nice cushion for a team that has proven it can win on the road.

Key Player Analysis

Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers QB)

Jordan Love enters his second season as the Packers’ starting quarterback with renewed confidence after a strong Week 1 performance. The fifth-year veteran has completed 63.7% of his passes for 8,342 yards and 62 touchdowns with 25 interceptions across 43 career games. His mobility adds another dimension to the offense, having rushed 91 times for 360 yards and five touchdowns. Love’s chemistry with his receivers appears to be developing rapidly, as evidenced by his precise touchdown passes to Tucker Kraft and Jayden Reed against Detroit.

Jayden Daniels (Washington Commanders QB)

The second-year quarterback has been nothing short of spectacular since entering the league. In 18 career regular-season starts, Daniels has completed an impressive 68.6% of his passes for 3,801 yards and 26 touchdowns with just nine interceptions, maintaining a 100.0 passer rating. His dual-threat capability makes him particularly dangerous, as he demonstrated against the Giants with 68 rushing yards on 11 carries. Daniels’ ability to extend plays with his legs and make accurate throws on the run gives the Commanders a significant advantage in their offensive scheme.

Josh Jacobs (Green Bay Packers RB)

The veteran running back’s addition to Green Bay has already paid dividends. Despite a slow start against Detroit, Jacobs finished strong with 66 yards on 19 carries and a crucial late touchdown. His career statistics speak volumes about his reliability: 1,625 carries for 6,940 yards (4.3 average) and 62 touchdowns across 91 games. Jacobs brings a physical running style that should complement Love’s passing attack effectively.

Betting Trends & Historical Context

The Packers hold a commanding 22-17-1 advantage in the all-time series against Washington, including victories in the last six meetings at Lambeau Field. This historical dominance at home provides additional confidence for Packers backers. However, the Commanders have shown they can perform well on the road, posting a 5-3 record away from home during the 2024 season.

Both teams enter this contest with 1-0 records, having covered the spread in their respective Week 1 victories. The Packers’ 27-13 win over Detroit exceeded expectations, while the Commanders’ 21-6 victory over the Giants demonstrated their defensive capabilities.

Injury Report Impact

The injury reports for both teams present some concerns that could influence the game’s outcome. The Packers are dealing with 13 players on their injury report, including starting guard Aaron Banks (ankle/groin) who did not participate in practice. Defensive lineman Brenton Cox Jr. is also questionable with a groin injury.

The Commanders appear to be in better health with only seven players listed on their injury report. Key contributors Noah Brown (knee) and Austin Ekeler (shoulder) are listed as limited participants but are expected to play. Most importantly, Jayden Daniels was a full participant in practice, alleviating any concerns about his availability.

Weather and Game Environment

Thursday night’s weather forecast calls for partly cloudy skies with temperatures around 56 degrees Fahrenheit. These conditions should be ideal for both passing and running games, eliminating weather as a significant factor in the outcome. The primetime atmosphere at Lambeau Field, combined with the Packers’ strong home record, creates an environment that typically favors the home team.

Additional Betting Options at bet105

Beyond the standard spread and total bets, bet105 offers numerous prop betting opportunities for this Thursday Night Football matchup:

Team Totals

• Green Bay Packers Team Total: Over 25.5 (-121) / Under 25.5 (+103)
• Washington Commanders Team Total: Over 23.5 (+113) / Under 23.5 (-132)

Alternative Spreads

bet105 provides various alternative spread options, allowing bettors to adjust the line based on their confidence level. The Commanders can be found at +1 (+154), +1.5 (+142), +2 (+137), and +2.5 (+131), while the Packers are available at -1 (-181), -1.5 (-166), -2 (-160), and -2.5 (-152).

Total Points Variations

For those looking to bet the total, bet105 offers multiple options including Over/Under 47 (+115/-135), Over/Under 47.5 (+107/-125), Over/Under 49 (+105/-123), and Over/Under 49.5 (+112/-131).

Final Thoughts

This Thursday Night Football matchup between the Packers and Commanders promises to be an entertaining contest between two teams with legitimate playoff aspirations. The Packers’ home-field advantage and historical success against Washington cannot be overlooked, but the Commanders’ balanced offensive attack and stout defense make them a live underdog.

The key to this game will likely be turnovers and time of possession. If the Commanders can establish their running game early and control the clock, they can keep the Packers’ explosive passing attack off the field. Conversely, if the Packers can force Washington into obvious passing situations, their pass rush could create problems for Daniels.

For bettors, the +3.5 spread for Washington represents solid value given their ability to stay competitive in road games and their defensive capabilities. The total of 48 points appears appropriately set, with both teams showing offensive potential but also defensive strength in Week 1.

Remember to bet responsibly and only wager what you can afford to lose. Visit bet105 for the most current odds and additional betting options for this exciting Thursday Night Football matchup.